In case someone’s mailing address is “Under A Rock, USA,” I’ll just take this opportunity to remind everyone that midterm elections will be held on Tuesday. If you’re a political junkie, this has been a particularly exciting election season, with Republicans fighting to take control of the Senate and Democrats fighting to keep it. There is a very distinct possibility that both parties end up with 50 seats out of the 100 in the Senate, and for those without a horse in the race, that’s probably the most exciting and fun potential outcome.
As the election draws near, I’ve found myself spending more and more time analyzing polling statistics to try to predict what might happen. There are tons of polling sites online with new data to peruse each day, and tons of other sites that will analyze those polls to death.
This is what is interesting about elections: The only way we can accurately predict what will happen is by asking people what they think will happen. I can’t think of any other situation that the news media might cover that is so reliant on people’s opinions. For example, meteorologists have dozens of forecast models they can use to predict the weather. Sports have more statistics to analyze than most sports analysts know what to do with. Elections? We’re helpless without opinions.